Forecasting Research Institute
- Assets
- $4.2m
- Revenue
- $235.0k
- Investments
- $814.4k
- Employees
- 3
- Location
- Claymont, DE
- Founding
- Data as of
- 12/2023
- EIN
- 92-0693558
Organization Overview
Forecasting Research Institute is located in Claymont, DE. According to its NTEE Classification (W99) the organization is classified as: Public & Societal Benefit N.E.C., under the broad grouping of Public & Societal Benefit and related organizations. As of 12/2023, Forecasting Research Institute employed 3 individuals. This organization is an independent organization and not affiliated with a larger national or regional group of organizations. Forecasting Research Institute is a 501(c)(3) and as such, is described as a "Charitable or Religous organization or a private foundation" by the IRS.
For the year ending 12/2023, Forecasting Research Institute generated $235.0k in total revenue. All expenses for the organization totaled $1.4m during the year ending 12/2023.
Form
990
Mission & Program ActivityExcerpts From the 990 Filing
TAX YEAR
2023
Describe the Organization's Mission:
Part 3 - Line 1
FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE'S MISSION IS TO ADVANCE THE SCIENCE OF FORECASTING FOR THE PUBLIC GOOD. WE DEVELOP AND TEST METHODS TO IMPROVE DECISION-MAKING THROUGH FORECASTING, FOCUSING IN PARTICULAR ON ASSISTING THOSE WHOSE DECISIONS ARE OF BROAD SOCIAL IMPORTANCE.
Describe the Organization's Program Activity:
Part 3 - Line 4a
FRI DESIGNED AND RAN DOZENS OF SCIENTIFIC EXPERIMENTS AND EXPERT ELICITATION SURVEYS FOR FUTURE PUBLICATION AS ACADEMIC PAPERS AND TECHNICAL REPORTS. RESEARCH FOCUSES INCLUDE SURVEYS OF EXPERT BELIEFS ABOUT NUCLEAR RISK AND RISKS FROM ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE. FRI ALSO DESIGNED A NEW BENCHMARK OF AI PROGRESS, MEASURING THE ACCURACY OF AI SYSTEMS ON AN AUTOMATED FORECASTING TASK. IN ADDITION TO THIS RESEARCH, FRI INCREASED IN SIZE TO 8 FULL-TIME EMPLOYEES AND MORE THAN 20 ACADEMIC, SCIENTIFIC, AND PART-TIME COLLABORATORS.
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PDF Copies of 990 Filings
Board, Officers & Key Employees
| Name (title) | Role | Hours | Compensation |
|---|---|---|---|
Joshua Rosenberg CEO & Treasurer | OfficerTrustee | 40 | $135,553 |
Philip Tetlock President | OfficerTrustee | 30 | $0 |
Michael Page CEO & Treasurer (thru 7/2023) | OfficerTrustee | 40 | $114,932 |
Lyle Ungar Director | Trustee | 1 | $0 |
Jennifer Lerner Director | Trustee | 1 | $0 |
Eva Vivalt Director (from 2/2023) | Trustee | 1 | $0 |
Financial Statements
| Statement of Revenue | |
|---|---|
| Federated campaigns | $0 |
| Membership dues | $0 |
| Fundraising events | $0 |
| Related organizations | $0 |
| Government grants | $0 |
| All other contributions, gifts, grants, and similar amounts not included above | $225,000 |
| Noncash contributions included in lines 1a–1f | $0 |
| Total Revenue from Contributions, Gifts, Grants & Similar | $225,000 |
| Total Program Service Revenue | $0 |
| Investment income | $10,026 |
| Tax Exempt Bond Proceeds | $0 |
| Royalties | $0 |
| Net Rental Income | $0 |
| Net Gain/Loss on Asset Sales | $0 |
| Net Income from Fundraising Events | $0 |
| Net Income from Gaming Activities | $0 |
| Net Income from Sales of Inventory | $0 |
| Miscellaneous Revenue | $0 |
| Total Revenue | $235,026 |
| Statement of Expenses | |
|---|---|
| Grants and other assistance to domestic organizations and domestic governments. | $0 |
| Grants and other assistance to domestic individuals. | $0 |
| Grants and other assistance to Foreign Orgs/Individuals | $0 |
| Benefits paid to or for members | $0 |
| Compensation of current officers, directors, key employees. | $359,662 |
| Compensation of current officers, directors, key employees. | $108,708 |
| Compensation to disqualified persons | $0 |
| Other salaries and wages | $97,529 |
| Pension plan accruals and contributions | $2,854 |
| Other employee benefits | $18,120 |
| Payroll taxes | $42,589 |
| Fees for services: Management | $0 |
| Fees for services: Legal | $2,700 |
| Fees for services: Accounting | $0 |
| Fees for services: Lobbying | $0 |
| Fees for services: Fundraising | $0 |
| Fees for services: Investment Management | $0 |
| Fees for services: Other | $813,652 |
| Advertising and promotion | $0 |
| Office expenses | $39,382 |
| Information technology | $19,639 |
| Royalties | $0 |
| Occupancy | $0 |
| Travel | $26,705 |
| Payments of travel or entertainment expenses for any federal, state, or local public officials | $0 |
| Conferences, conventions, and meetings | $8,311 |
| Interest | $0 |
| Payments to affiliates | $0 |
| Depreciation, depletion, and amortization | $0 |
| Insurance | $3,357 |
| All other expenses | $517 |
| Total functional expenses | $1,435,017 |
| Balance Sheet | |
|---|---|
| Cash—non-interest-bearing | $247,749 |
| Savings and temporary cash investments | $0 |
| Pledges and grants receivable | $0 |
| Accounts receivable, net | $2,847 |
| Loans from Officers, Directors, or Controlling Persons | $0 |
| Loans from Disqualified Persons | $0 |
| Notes and loans receivable | $0 |
| Inventories for sale or use | $0 |
| Prepaid expenses and deferred charges | $136 |
| Net Land, buildings, and equipment | $0 |
| Investments—publicly traded securities | $3,112,599 |
| Investments—other securities | $814,361 |
| Investments—program-related | $0 |
| Intangible assets | $0 |
| Other assets | $29,679 |
| Total assets | $4,207,371 |
| Accounts payable and accrued expenses | $52,628 |
| Grants payable | $0 |
| Deferred revenue | $0 |
| Tax-exempt bond liabilities | $0 |
| Escrow or custodial account liability | $0 |
| Loans and other payables to any current Officer, Director, or Controlling Person | $0 |
| Secured mortgages and notes payable | $0 |
| Unsecured mortgages and notes payable | $0 |
| Other liabilities | $0 |
| Total liabilities | $52,628 |
| Net assets without donor restrictions | $4,154,743 |
| Net assets with donor restrictions | $0 |
| Capital stock or trust principal, or current funds | $0 |
| Paid-in or capital surplus, or land, building, or equipment fund | $0 |
| Retained earnings, endowment, accumulated income, or other funds | $0 |
| Total liabilities and net assets/fund balances | $4,207,371 |